math concept
11 topics use this
Math concept
Random Processes
Core equation
$$X_t \sim F_{t_1,\ldots,t_n}(x_1,\ldots,x_n)$$
A random process (stochastic process) is a collection of random variables indexed by time or space. Stationarity, ergodicity, and autocorrelation are its key properties — the foundation of time series, signal processing, and financial modelling.
Key classes
Stationary processes: statistics invariant under time shift — $F_{t_1+\tau,\ldots}(·) = F_{t_1,\ldots}(·)$.
Wide-sense stationary (WSS): $\mathbb{E}[X_t] = \mu$ and $\text{Cov}(X_t, X_{t+\tau}) = R(\tau)$ depend only on lag $\tau$.
Ergodic: time averages equal ensemble averages almost surely.
Autocorrelation and power spectrum
For a WSS process: $R(\tau) = \mathbb{E}[X_t X_{t+\tau}]$.
By the Wiener–Khinchin theorem, the power spectral density is the Fourier transform of $R$:
\[S(\omega) = \int_{-\infty}^\infty R(\tau)\,e^{-i\omega\tau}\,d\tau\]White noise and filtered processes
White noise: $R(\tau) = \sigma^2\delta(\tau)$, $S(\omega) = \sigma^2$ (flat spectrum).
| Passing white noise through an LTI filter $H(\omega)$ gives output PSD $S_Y(\omega) = | H(\omega) | ^2 S_X(\omega)$ — the basis of ARMA spectral representations. |
Fields that use this concept
Finance & economics
Actuarial science
Loss Models
Mathematical models for insurance claim frequency and severity, culminating in aggregate loss distributions used for pricing, reserving, and capital modeling.
Ruin Theory
The mathematical study of when an insurer's surplus process first becomes negative, providing bounds and exact formulas for the probability of ruin under the classical Cramér-Lundberg model.
Life sciences
Biostatistics
Finance & economics
Econometrics
Earth sciences
Geophysics
Earth sciences
Meteorology
Engineering & CS
Operations research
Queuing Theory
Mathematical models of waiting lines and service systems. The M/M/1 queue and Little's law are the foundations.
Discrete-Event Simulation
Modeling stochastic systems by advancing a simulation clock through events and analyzing steady-state and transient behavior.
Engineering & CS
Signal processing
Adaptive Filtering
Filters that update their coefficients online to minimize a cost function, enabling noise cancellation, echo suppression, and channel equalization.
Kalman Filter
The optimal recursive estimator for linear Gaussian state-space models, fusing predictions with noisy observations.
Power Spectral Density
Describes how the power of a random signal is distributed across frequencies, estimated via periodogram and spectral averaging methods.